WHAT PERSPECTIVE DOES THE BUDGET 2020 GIVE TO GHANA?

 

2020-Budget-Statement-and-Economic-Policy

WHAT PERSPECTIVE DOES THE BUDGET 2020 GIVE TO GHANA?

THAT IS THE QUESTION MOST GHANAIANS ASK THEMSELVES AFTER THE READING LAST WEEK.

NOW DON’T EXPECT FROM ME A COMPLETE ANALYSIS OF THE CA. 260 PAGES DOCUMENT – INCLUDED APPENDICES. YOU CAN DOWNLOAD THE WHOLE DOCUMENT AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS ARTICL E.

BUT APART FROM LISTING THE ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE GOVERNMENT WITHIN THE LAST THREE YEARS, THE BUDGET IS FULL OF PROJECTS FOR 2020 AND BEYOND. BE IT THE IMPROVEMENT OF THE RAILWAY INFRASTRUCTURE OR THE 1D1F INITIATIVE, ALL ARE VERY AMBITIOUS.

MOST OF THE ECONOMICAL DATA ARE POSITIVE AND IN LINE WITH THE RESEARCHES OF THE BANK OF GHANA. THE NEWEST IS THE CURRENT INFLATION RATE. AFTER THE REBASE OF THE UNDERLINED BASKET, THE RATE DECREASED FROM 7.8% TO 7.7% (SEE https://www.bog.gov.gh/) THIS IS ALREADY FURTHER BELOW THE INFLATION TARGET OF 8+/-2%.

THE GDP GROWTH IS SURELY WITHIN THE FORECAST OF INSTITUTIONS LIKE THE IMF OR THE WORLD BANK. SOME ARTICLES IN THE GHANAIAN PRESS DOUBT THAT TO ACHIEVE A TARGET OF 6.8% IS REALISTIC. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE INSTITUTIONS HAVE ALREADY DOWNGRADED THE ESTIMATE. THEREFORE, 6.8% GDP GROWTH SEEMS TO BE REALISTIC.

THERE ARE SOME COMPONENTS THAT MIGHT GIVE SOME PEOPLE A LITTLE HEADACHE. ONE OF THEM IS THE DEPRECIATION OF THE CEDI. AFTER SOME DAYS OF STABILISATION, THE CEDI LOST SOME GROUND AGAIN IN THE LAST DAYS.

NEVERTHELESS, I DON’T SEE ANY REASON TO PANIC RIGHT NOW. THE GOVERNMENT HAS INTRODUCED SEVERAL INITIATIVES THAT WILL MAKE SURE THAT WE MUST IMPORT LESS PRODUCTS. OF COURSE, THAT WILL PROBABLY LEAD TO PROTESTS OF SOME IMPORTERS. EVEN THE GOVERNMENT CANNOT MAKE EVERYONE HAPPY. BUT PROJECTS LIKE PLANTING FOR FOOD AND JOBS WILL LEAD TO MORE DOMESTIC PRODUCTION OF THINGS THAT ARE NEEDED HERE. THIS, IN TURN, WILL LEAD TO LESS EXPENDITURE OF FOREIGN CURRENCY, ESPECIALLY THE US-DOLLAR. AND THIS WILL SURELY STABILISE THE LOCAL CURRENCY.

FURTHERMORE, THE BFT ONLINE PUBLISHED AN ARTICLE TODAY. IN THIS ARTICLE, THE DIRECTOR OF ISSER EXPECTS THE GOVERNMENT TO MISS THE FISCAL DEFICIT TARGET. https://thebftonline.com/2019/economy/its-likely-govt-will-slip-in-deficit-target-prof-quartey/

THIS TARGET STANDS AT 4.7%, AND THE TARGET IS BASED ON THE FISCAL RESPONSIBILTY ACT. THE DIRECTOR BASES HIS OPINION ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT 2020 IS AN ELECTION YEAR. THIS, SO THE DIRECTOR, WILL PUT THE GOVERNMENT UNDER FISCAL PRESSURE. HE THINKS THAT IT WAS ALWAYS LIKE THAT IN ELECTION YEARS.

I REALLY DON’T KNOW WHY IT MUST BE LIKE THAT BECAUSE IT WAS ALWAYS LIKE THAT. THE GOVERNMENT IS NOW BOUND TO THE FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY ACT. WAIT AND SEE WHETHER THE GOVERNMENT KEEPS TO THE LEGAL BASIS. IF NOT, YOU CAN CRITICISE THE GOVERNMENT LATER.

I SEE THE MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM FOR THE GOVERNMENT IN THE REVENUE GENERATION. HERE, THE GOBERNMENT WANTS TO BROADEN THE TAX BASE. THIS IS A GOOD START, AND WILL HOPEFULLY BE SUCCESSFUL.

SOME DISTRICTS HAVE ALREADY BOUGHT A SOFTWARE THAT TAXES MONIES AT THE SOURCE, IF THIS SOFTWARE IS IMPLEMENTED SUCCESSFULLY, IT WILL HELP TO CONTROL REVENUE COLLECTION AT THE BASE.

IN ALL, I AM OF THE OPINION THAT THE GOVERNMENT IS ON THE RIGHT PATH TO TRANSFORM THE ECONOMY. NOW IT’S THE TIME FOR THE POPULACE NOT ONLY TO BENEFIT FROM THIS TRANSFORMATION. GOVERNMENT, NO MATTER FROM WHICH PARTY, CANNOT DO ANYTHING WITHOUT THE SUPPORT OF THE PEOPLE.

WHAT PERSPECTIVE DOES THE BUDGET 2020 GIVE TO GHANA? THE BUDGET WILL ONLY GIVE THE PERSPECTIVE THAT YOU SUPPORT.

IT IS YOUR COUNTRY!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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